South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b73e598a980c9d8364f6d88bc59e437c14c4390852e66fdaf15bc90e387c9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,897$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 34c | 1,250$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.57 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 52c | 357.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 326.97$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 50c | 286$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 41c | 284.41$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.02 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…75bdbacked Yes | 18c | 279.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 50c | 239.46$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…1498backed No | 51c | 179$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…a578backed Yes | 49c | 176.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…be7dbacked Yes | 49c | 171.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01df…5a95backed No | 51c | 164$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…3a53backed No | 51c | 156$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…b83cbacked Yes | 49c | 151.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…c1dbbacked Yes | 49c | 149.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…769cbacked Yes | 49c | 148.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 147.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bc…d9a5backed Yes | 49c | 147.15$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9758…9d20backed Yes | 49c | 146.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…e2c9backed No | 51c | 143$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118e…8a85backed No | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0814…8c6fbacked No | 51c | 141$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…a2edbacked No | 51c | 139$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9179…be4bbacked No | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…06dbbacked No | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Yes | 16c | 130.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…bbfcbacked No | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96c…e62ebacked No | 51c | 129$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…7583backed Yes | 49c | 128.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2e…7ad1backed Yes | 49c | 128.11$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba7…d2bdbacked Yes | 49c | 127.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…a85fbacked No | 51c | 126$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…0da5backed Yes | 49c | 123.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…ee59backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…1663backed Yes | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a90…4c7cbacked Yes | 49c | 122.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc99…d425backed No | 51c | 121$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…824dbacked Yes | 49c | 120.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 68.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed No | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf0…599cbacked Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…63a6backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)CR Flamengo won
- Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)CR Flamengo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.