Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9727e054a3153d902a98113777cfff5ba0a70d4be91eb344bb01eff44727c225
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,059 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7049…2df7backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cb…c1dcbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffb…119dbacked No | 0c | 3,517$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 430 | 21.9%94 W · 336 L | +22.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…c6cebacked No | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 255 | 4.3%11 W · 244 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 49c | 1,977$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.44 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…0db3backed No | 78c | 1,154$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 5c | 856.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.06 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 9c | 815.15$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.35 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 681.39$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.96 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 555.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.58 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…fa0cbacked Yes | 18c | 479.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.63 | 242 | 16.9%41 W · 201 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 17c | 462.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 11c | 430.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.1 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 427.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.39 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Yes | 27c | 411.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 7c | 399.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…022dbacked Yes | 11c | 374.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.78 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 18c | 368.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.01 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 364.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 11c | 352.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.63 | 343 | 19.5%67 W · 276 L | +22.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfe…b127backed Yes | 28c | 341.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.69 | 76 | 14.5%11 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 70c | 330.58$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.32 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 26c | 309.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 13c | 307.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dec…a0ccbacked No | 77c | 294.22$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 10c | 287.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…e587backed Yes | 70c | 264.45$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 71c | 230.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c4…1513backed Yes | 20c | 225$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 209.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 207.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 56c | 194.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 189.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.31 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 76c | 175.7$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.35 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 77c | 160.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.99 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 76c | 150.78$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.84 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 149.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67e…e894backed No | 8c | 135.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 16c | 121$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 14c | 110.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed No | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 109.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c2…7a17backed No | 76c | 103$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4826…79dabacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef81…6d75backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x025b…1793backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 126 | 32.5%41 W · 85 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…4406backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…488cbacked Yes | 14c | 96.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +222.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 28c | 90.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 13c | 89.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 86.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebee…7f68backed Yes | 15c | 82.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 95 | 29.5%28 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…3489backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 78c | 75.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…a999backed No | 79c | 73.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed No | 70c | 70.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…2574backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…9bfabacked Yes | 29c | 65.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…f2d7backed Yes | 19c | 63.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 19cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc88…2331backed Yes | 19c | 62.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 26c | 61.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…dd70backed Yes | 36c | 54.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed No | 67c | 52.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…51eebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 54c | 45.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ea…98e6backed No | 78c | 45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…b49ebacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…b68bbacked No | 71c | 32.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…9397backed No | 74c | 27.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…a48ebacked No | 74c | 26.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 61c | 26.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…f6c5backed Yes | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…ebbabacked No | 76c | 19.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.