Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f2d643a3bc10d74cc72ede1b25ea46c2c8b79950c2d246aaf64d32339b270e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,411 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3159…5f35backed Yes | 0c | 22,197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7d…15f3backed Yes | 0c | 5,769$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b3…9dc1backed Yes | 58c | 1,870$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…4da3backed No | 42c | 1,870$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…44c2backed Yes | 60c | 1,850$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…07dfbacked No | 40c | 1,850$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 23c | 1,237$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.42 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…b2edbacked Yes | 2c | 1,042$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…ce09backed Yes | 77c | 627.1$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.86 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 50c | 583.35$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.49 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 64c | 563$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.88 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ced…7ce8backed No | 22c | 504.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.79 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed No | 11c | 428.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.85 | 597 | 42%251 W · 346 L | +96.8wins | +0.16per pick | 26cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 419.2$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.43 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 29c | 410.13$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.57 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 47c | 358$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 55c | 336.06$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.23 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 24c | 324.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 63c | 303.87$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.52 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed Yes | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 78 | 23.1%18 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 60c | 279.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6db…810ebacked Yes | 63c | 271.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 11c | 265.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 342 | 19.9%68 W · 274 L | +18.6wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 78c | 225.17$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 13c | 202.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 22c | 199.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.85 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 71c | 186.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 27c | 172.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…6525backed Yes | 69c | 170$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…8da8backed Yes | 43c | 169.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 388 | 40.7%158 W · 230 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 45c | 168$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…dfb4backed Yes | 67c | 165.1$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed No | 30c | 158.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 42c | 154.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 27c | 150.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…9610backed No | 30c | 149.93$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0043…dadebacked Yes | 42c | 139.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 53c | 119.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 250 | 29.2%73 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 109.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…6c48backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef0f…1dc9backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…022dbacked Yes | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 99.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…0fd7backed Yes | 50c | 99.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…758dbacked Yes | 46c | 93.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 33c | 92.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 42c | 91.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…1103backed Yes | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 32c | 79.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.93 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 71.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 51c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…96e3backed Yes | 44c | 70.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 522 | 45%235 W · 287 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 47c | 69.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0b…30aebacked Yes | 48c | 62.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 46c | 59.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 46c | 57.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 52c | 53.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 35c | 53.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…d4cebacked Yes | 59c | 50.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed No | 54c | 49.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked No | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 27c | 45.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…34d8backed Yes | 67c | 44.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 43.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef9…3f42backed Yes | 72c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…92fbbacked Yes | 80c | 40.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7112…6d11backed Yes | 49c | 39.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 349 | 70.2%245 W · 104 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 64c | 39.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed No | 51c | 38.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 34c | 38.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6114backed Yes | 52c | 38.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…769cbacked Yes | 51c | 37.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 76c | 37.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 358 | 43.9%157 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 63c | 37.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…dbe8backed Yes | 54c | 37.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31e…ec88backed No | 33c | 35.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 559 | 19.1%107 W · 452 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f7…f6c5backed Yes | 78c | 33.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 50c | 33.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e6…c310backed Yes | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 159 | 11.3%18 W · 141 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2423…4137backed Yes | 63c | 31.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…b2a8backed No | 42c | 31.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…c9aabacked Yes | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db6…4894backed Yes | 45c | 28.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…fe1dbacked No | 50c | 28.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…72d0backed Yes | 68c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…844ebacked Yes | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.