MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa808a210f9b18f6bea36d93dd50253dcd36d781cc16445f72301088678faf492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Athletics, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6027…4320backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 1,368$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.29 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Athletics | 49c | 890.51$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Angels | 51c | 747.18$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.66 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Athletics | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 50c | 289.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Athletics | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Athletics | 47c | 246.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Athletics | 49c | 195.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Athletics | 47c | 144.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Athletics | 50c | 121.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 121.2$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Athletics | 45c | 120.59$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 106.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Athletics | 47c | 60.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 60.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 58.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Athletics | 46c | 51.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Athletics | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Athletics | 78c | 38.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 49c | 25.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.