Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1412197d1785ccbd8f637a5fee457cf94a6ab845c752b879a2ab1c020423216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mississippi State Bulldogsof Mississippi State Bulldogs, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked LSU Tigers | 10c | 4,665$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.32 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LSU Tigers | 74c | 3,522$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.49 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 3,204$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LSU Tigers | 14c | 2,842$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked LSU Tigers | 8c | 1,938$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 1,875$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed LSU Tigers | 29c | 1,290$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.61 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 29c | 1,264$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.71 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 71c | 1,116$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.53 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked LSU Tigers | 74c | 1,100$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 841.42$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…ed54backed LSU Tigers | 74c | 810.88$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LSU Tigers | 43c | 692.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed LSU Tigers | 7c | 620.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed LSU Tigers | 11c | 600$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 77c | 568.52$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 536.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LSU Tigers | 27c | 534.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed LSU Tigers | 58c | 521.58$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked LSU Tigers | 74c | 499.21$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed LSU Tigers | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed LSU Tigers | 12c | 365$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed LSU Tigers | 34c | 356.78$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed LSU Tigers | 9c | 351$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 70c | 300$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 267.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 75c | 265.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.21 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked LSU Tigers | 73c | 263.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.47 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked LSU Tigers | 11c | 250.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed LSU Tigers | 18c | 246.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 219$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked LSU Tigers | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 191.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.88 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed LSU Tigers | 74c | 122$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…5a89backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 99.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked LSU Tigers | 18c | 90.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked LSU Tigers | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb834…e4c1backed LSU Tigers | 28c | 72.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 27c | 62.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked LSU Tigers | 27c | 54.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 26c | 53.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked LSU Tigers | 42c | 44.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f8…dd75backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…7be4backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c85…b926backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339e…be97backed LSU Tigers | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed LSU Tigers | 74c | 23.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 54c | 22.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed LSU Tigers | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…3005backed Mississippi State Bulldogs | 78c | 16.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigersthis page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.