Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3105c9e765d0d83a69aa4c6a749ee574f0af4583b75add80671544dd62473abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 44,690$20,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,674.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 34,197$18,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,736.88 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 19,087$10,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,488.23 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 45c | 5,250$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 45c | 4,340$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Over | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 45c | 2,304$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 45c | 2,190$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.5 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 44c | 1,940$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.23 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 45c | 1,889$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.89 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 47c | 1,718$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.54 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 44c | 889.29$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 46c | 431.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.2 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 55c | 427.44$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.44 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 45c | 376$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.14 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 56c | 335.51$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 43c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 55c | 160.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Under | 46c | 110.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 55c | 102.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 45c | 40.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 55c | 36.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 56c | 25.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 152.5this page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU TigersMississippi State Bulldogs won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.