Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb070bf4058af026457ef885ce77496e9ccb2a56ad9739178575322f6371297a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 56c | 11,392$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,428.89 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 43c | 5,858$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.25 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 3,686$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.01 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Under | 43c | 3,186$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.02 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 57c | 2,404$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.06 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 43c | 2,290$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.3 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Under | 43c | 1,372$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.09 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 43c | 1,299$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.32 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Under | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.18 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 43c | 500.91$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.52 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 57c | 232.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Over | 57c | 146$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 57c | 141.74$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 42c | 130.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 58c | 111.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 56c | 88.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 42c | 67.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…5004backed Over | 56c | 53.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 59c | 44.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Over | 56c | 40.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Under | 43c | 36.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…49c4backed Over | 58c | 26.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…2d47backed Under | 43c | 24.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 151.5this page
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU TigersMississippi State Bulldogs won
- Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.