Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3db21db64b134f5705d8404df7848b21eccd349b29efa4af79204e39ea0adf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Campbell Fighting Camels, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Elon Phoenix | 41c | 1,142$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Elon Phoenix | 22c | 1,101$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.78 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 64c | 919$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.82 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 63c | 915.61$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.01 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Elon Phoenix | 33c | 728.03$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.72 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix | 34c | 637$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.99 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 54c | 595.8$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.07 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Elon Phoenix | 42c | 471.03$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Elon Phoenix | 25c | 402$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.5 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 60c | 387.15$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 46c | 340.51$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 63c | 336.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 313.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 55c | 229.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 59c | 221.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Elon Phoenix | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb038…ff5fbacked Elon Phoenix | 41c | 142.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 142$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 70c | 130.96$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 58c | 104.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Elon Phoenix | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 67c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.