TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Massachusetts Minutemen

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kent State Golden Flashesof Kent State Golden Flashes, Massachusetts Minutemen
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,484
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,484 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29c0…efaabacked Massachusetts Minutemen51c417.59$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.491,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Massachusetts Minutemen49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1964,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Massachusetts Minutemen20c390$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.831,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kent State Golden Flashes49c356.16$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kent State Golden Flashes54c240$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.11,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.182,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Massachusetts Minutemen9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.73511.4%4 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Massachusetts Minutemen19c142$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.983,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Massachusetts Minutemen50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Kent State Golden Flashes71c121.39$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.812,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Massachusetts Minutemen22c120$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.191,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Massachusetts Minutemen16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4864322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Massachusetts Minutemen51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.982,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Massachusetts Minutemen49c92$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.086743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Massachusetts Minutemen49c76$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.248756.3%49 W · 38 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a20…8248backed Massachusetts Minutemen50c73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kent State Golden Flashes52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3111055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.131833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77ec…4f9cbacked Kent State Golden Flashes50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9acf…bd74backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Kent State Golden Flashes73c34.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.53568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes51c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.192857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb717…a67fbacked Kent State Golden Flashes50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked Kent State Golden Flashes50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52774.1%20 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Massachusetts Minutemen50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115639.3%22 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Massachusetts Minutemen47c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.346950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Kent State Golden Flashes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab2c…0ab7backed Kent State Golden Flashes50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102250%11 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.