Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51e98032186e25fa468427b3c837b2151efd51200257e13464627385b44b205d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 535.32$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 52c | 162$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 46c | 134.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…9707backed Under | 54c | 129$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 56c | 113$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Under | 52c | 83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 54c | 81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Under | 55c | 67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 54c | 51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Under | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 55c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e8…4facbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 48c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked Over | 48c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…a3d3backed Over | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 58c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…d7cebacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaa…80cdbacked Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed Over | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 45c | 25.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 25.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…e856backed Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ee…f2d4backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 48c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Over | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Saint Mary's Gaels: O/U 146.5this page
- Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Saint Mary's GaelsSaint Mary's Gaels won
- Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-13.5)Florida Atlantic Owls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.