NHL · resolved market
AHL: Milwaukee Admirals vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b11f7b1f0efdbc0ca809c76f4a910df238340fc7e14b903fd6ea4084371f512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Milwaukee Admirals, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25b8…efb1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 14c | 5,300$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Milwaukee Admirals | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Chicago Wolves | 44c | 483.34$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.67 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 252.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.5 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Chicago Wolves | 46c | 210.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.98 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Chicago Wolves | 42c | 180.16$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…7605backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Chicago Wolves | 45c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 73.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Chicago Wolves | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed Chicago Wolves | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Chicago Wolves | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f47…d903backed Chicago Wolves | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…165ebacked Chicago Wolves | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…190bbacked Chicago Wolves | 44c | 38.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +116%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91a…f3b4backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 38.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Milwaukee Admirals | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…af95backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 33.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68b…72b6backed Chicago Wolves | 44c | 32.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…64d2backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…0b04backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3d78backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.