Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6847ef70f57698b46c9482d7aa5bdbcc630626fe28c2860ff0445ef9d9173c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,483
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 34c | 1,291$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,001$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.98 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 526$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.09 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88be…2272backed Yes | 28c | 352.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 67c | 297.73$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 292.22$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…79a4backed Yes | 25c | 290$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 27c | 218.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 28c | 207$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 167.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 66c | 165$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 66c | 165$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 137.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 28c | 106.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 66c | 85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 73c | 84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…4997backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…70a1backed No | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.