NHL · resolved market
SHL: Oerebro HK vs. HV 71
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98f02199872a5079cc1d5b5dfde557a196b9234298e62cc6def78a9d34e2ff93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of Oerebro HK, HV 71
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x458f…124bbacked HV 71 | 38c | 1,343$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…b7b5backed HV 71 | 39c | 1,010$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 33cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e6…cbe7backed HV 71 | 39c | 970$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…897dbacked HV 71 | 38c | 880$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8e…41debacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 737$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e7…9de7backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 620$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…568dbacked HV 71 | 39c | 620$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…a498backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 606$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed HV 71 | 39c | 600$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…0b61backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 582$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked HV 71 | 39c | 570$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…87acbacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 550$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked HV 71 | 39c | 446$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…bd81backed HV 71 | 39c | 430$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d39…9b8dbacked HV 71 | 39c | 430$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…b4febacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 428$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde73…d7d9backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 420$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…779abacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 370$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 340$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d1…d768backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 290$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…9c0abacked HV 71 | 40c | 275$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…bdddbacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…bcc7backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…d809backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ea…d9babacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…b3b0backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oerebro HK | 60c | 220.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.19 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…0b1fbacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 190$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed HV 71 | 38c | 149$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…4279backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 140$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed HV 71 | 38c | 137$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked HV 71 | 38c | 92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed HV 71 | 38c | 54.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 162 | 37%60 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed HV 71 | 39c | 52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f96…92e0backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed HV 71 | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Oerebro HK | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed HV 71 | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Oerebro HK | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Oerebro HK | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Oerebro HK | 61c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.