Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf62659e26ae3441f9e9db20c3969ddf1ee24cd8c2dafe85883ff3b8b415df4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 1,125$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.1 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 49c | 876.17$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 54c | 600$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…1bb1backed Over | 55c | 265.57$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Under | 44c | 148$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 44c | 137$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 136.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 56c | 90.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Under | 44c | 87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Under | 45c | 86.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under | 44c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 54c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Over | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…1716backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…6224backed Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed Over | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.