Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tulane Green Wave vs. California-San Diego Tritons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5e3be5a495bed34d0809dfde808ef2f3afc63d63dd1f58a41a7f0f7972b28d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California-San Diego Tritonsof Tulane Green Wave, California-San Diego Tritons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tulane Green Wave | 32c | 428.52$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.31 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 399.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Tulane Green Wave | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 151$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…fe96backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Tulane Green Wave | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked California-San Diego Tritons | 75c | 31.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 70c | 28.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California-San Diego Tritons | 68c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed California-San Diego Tritons | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.