Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Costoulas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9c923e96d900fda9dbbc3ed7045bfe0fcc18c1549796c9880ed586a30b530c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Costoulas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9da…06eebacked Costoulas | 49c | 1,409$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jovic | 50c | 775.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.75 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jovic | 53c | 495$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Jovic | 55c | 133$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Jovic | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Jovic | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Jovic | 54c | 69.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Costoulas | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Costoulas | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Costoulas | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Jovic | 51c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…61d9backed Costoulas | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jovic | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Costoulas | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Jovic | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Costoulas | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed Costoulas | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Costoulas | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Costoulas | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Jovic (-1.5) vs Costoulas (+1.5)this page
- ASB Classic: Iva Jovic vs Sofia CostoulasJovic won
- Jovic vs. Costoulas: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Jovic vs. Costoulas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs CostoulasJovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.