South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5244a32bece2fbe0d3eed70847477433229a61e825fe8c2b60b9ef0e44e5ab37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 51c | 350.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.59 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Yes | 46c | 225$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 49c | 204.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…5faebacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 194.65$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Yes | 47c | 191$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 52c | 174.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 44c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 41c | 122.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 47c | 116$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 100.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed No | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 59c | 33.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Yes | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked No | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed No | 54c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked No | 53c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…32aebacked No | 53c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed No | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed No | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked No | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed No | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed No | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked No | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…148bbacked No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…de52backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.