South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1388c9552d6fb5657302f763d0c9a6224c4e132f0abc7471f7eda03ad2a9e73a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,672
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,672 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 33c | 21,472$7,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,102.48 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 13,480$9,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 4,419$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 955.6$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.03 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460d…9d5fbacked Under | 70c | 275$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 53c | 211.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 210.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 189.54$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 68c | 120.61$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 56c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked Under | 66c | 54.33$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 40c | 48.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 50c | 40.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Under | 55c | 39.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Over | 46c | 27.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Under | 67c | 26.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 59c | 22.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 54c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 2.5this page
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Táchira FC vs. Club The Strongest: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.