Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Denver Pioneers vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b0991a30cfcb45634316aebf1573d9547546beb2a92a78358aa00a90636f67e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesof Denver Pioneers, St. Thomas (MN) Tommies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 75c | 2,884$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.88 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denver Pioneers | 33c | 1,820$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.98 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Denver Pioneers | 27c | 1,008$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 52c | 954.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.72 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Denver Pioneers | 15c | 937$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.55 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Denver Pioneers | 21c | 492.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e3…e5b3backed Denver Pioneers | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…8e33backed Denver Pioneers | 15c | 258.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Denver Pioneers | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Denver Pioneers | 26c | 165.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Denver Pioneers | 17c | 157.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Denver Pioneers | 26c | 123.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 70c | 116$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.33 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Denver Pioneers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Denver Pioneers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Denver Pioneers | 16c | 83.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Denver Pioneers | 42c | 69.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Denver Pioneers | 19c | 69.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Denver Pioneers | 45c | 58.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked St. Thomas (MN) Tommies | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Denver Pioneers vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommiesthis page
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-10.5)Denver Pioneers won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-11.5)Denver Pioneers won
- Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-9.5)Denver Pioneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.