Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Rebeka Masarova vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x691a7dc08383f353ca33a4004a6e02b31805490343ea07fb0702d23cb2afaa3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Volynetsof Masarova, Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Volynets | 64c | 2,684$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.32 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Masarova | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Masarova | 6c | 1,444$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Masarova | 36c | 1,184$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.32 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Masarova | 22c | 352.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Masarova | 36c | 290.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Masarova | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Masarova | 8c | 178.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Volynets | 66c | 152.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Volynets | 63c | 150.79$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Masarova | 24c | 148.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Volynets | 61c | 133.21$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…0505backed Masarova | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Masarova | 20c | 55.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Masarova | 36c | 40.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Volynets | 65c | 38.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Volynets | 76c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac0…63c8backed Volynets | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Volynets | 74c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…a9f6backed Volynets | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Volynets | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Volynets | 58c | 19.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.