Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Olivia Gadecki vs Anastasia Zakharova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x663607739423769544523d581cdca3062a0ff6c05522850632bb13acb54ec695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gadeckiof Gadecki, Zakharova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zakharova | 1c | 8,025$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…e2c1backed Zakharova | 32c | 3,127$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zakharova | 21c | 1,862$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.8 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gadecki | 70c | 1,490$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.07 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Gadecki | 64c | 1,041$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.96 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Zakharova | 12c | 846.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002d…4a9cbacked Zakharova | 30c | 602.42$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.94 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Zakharova | 24c | 539.52$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…a08fbacked Gadecki | 80c | 521.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gadecki | 70c | 427.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Zakharova | 25c | 406.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4738backed Zakharova | 17c | 349.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Gadecki | 52c | 332.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Zakharova | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zakharova | 48c | 240.61$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.52 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Gadecki | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Zakharova | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 8.1%11 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Gadecki | 69c | 182.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Gadecki | 68c | 175.12$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Zakharova | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Zakharova | 40c | 130.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Zakharova | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…1200backed Zakharova | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zakharova | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Zakharova | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Gadecki | 56c | 74.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Gadecki | 46c | 72.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Gadecki | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Zakharova | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Zakharova | 42c | 64.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Zakharova | 59c | 57.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Zakharova | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…0185backed Zakharova | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Zakharova | 29c | 43.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Zakharova | 54c | 41.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Zakharova | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Zakharova | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Gadecki | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Gadecki | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574f…3462backed Gadecki | 78c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Gadecki | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Olivia Gadecki vs Anastasia Zakharovathis page
- Gadecki vs. Zakharova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Gadecki vs ZakharovaGadecki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.