Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kansas City Roos vs. Omaha Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90971ed63b1ba52eab5a23ab201cfa113257e7f6e1dcb09036a63d06d42b7dd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Roosof Kansas City Roos, Omaha Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 43c | 907.44$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.16 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Omaha Mavericks | 23c | 875.78$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.33 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kansas City Roos | 79c | 653$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Omaha Mavericks | 54c | 529.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.09 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 74c | 514.02$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kansas City Roos | 62c | 480.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Roos | 74c | 395.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.94 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Kansas City Roos | 72c | 394.46$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kansas City Roos | 60c | 374$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Omaha Mavericks | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Kansas City Roos | 24c | 214.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Omaha Mavericks | 80c | 196.03$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Kansas City Roos | 31c | 186.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 14c | 177$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 38 | 10.5%4 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 166.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kansas City Roos | 52c | 149$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Omaha Mavericks | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Omaha Mavericks | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Roos | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Omaha Mavericks | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Kansas City Roos | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.