Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Valparaiso Beacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01635d84c6d1da67c011f75897539fa8c5fbb6df06685092ba95c313a4db3b0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valparaiso Beaconsof UIC Flames, Valparaiso Beacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames | 54c | 3,383$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.56 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 58c | 1,083$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 56c | 707.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.95 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 618.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.9 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valparaiso Beacons | 37c | 518.41$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Valparaiso Beacons | 37c | 511.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed UIC Flames | 41c | 475.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Valparaiso Beacons | 60c | 453$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.2 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UIC Flames | 40c | 339.62$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.24 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames | 40c | 313.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Valparaiso Beacons | 59c | 241.57$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.23 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UIC Flames | 31c | 172.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Valparaiso Beacons | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed UIC Flames | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 59.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed UIC Flames | 43c | 41.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Valparaiso Beacons | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed UIC Flames | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Valparaiso Beaconsthis page
- UIC Flames vs. Valparaiso Beacons: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.