Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e511ba895a460e9b7aec457a00852a88f2a81115c90499fe5220ecf10704d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 26c | 2,961$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 74c | 2,429$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 1,775$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.97 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 1,697$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 979$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Purdue Boilermakers | 76c | 859.98$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 824.17$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.24 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 71c | 711.41$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 581.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 406.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 400.66$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 20c | 396.64$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.54 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875e…157bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 23c | 384.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4570…4532backed Purdue Boilermakers | 72c | 349.97$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 68c | 323.4$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Purdue Boilermakers | 74c | 189.19$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…2130backed Wisconsin Badgers | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 63c | 138.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wisconsin Badgers | 28c | 93.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Purdue Boilermakers | 79c | 59.25$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Purdue Boilermakers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9001…b232backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 42.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Purdue Boilermakers | 62c | 33.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Purdue Boilermakers | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0104…530ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 71c | 14.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.