Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. New Mexico Lobos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9591e9415d78caa125e03f509baeaafb4dc059e4cd7d88c11a28e7e54c768daf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexico Lobosof Wyoming Cowboys, New Mexico Lobos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed New Mexico Lobos | 77c | 1,233$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.04 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Wyoming Cowboys | 29c | 913.71$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.59 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 16c | 828.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wyoming Cowboys | 15c | 748.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico Lobos | 75c | 648$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wyoming Cowboys | 15c | 549.67$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.89 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wyoming Cowboys | 37c | 190$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 171$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed New Mexico Lobos | 71c | 163.4$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.33 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed New Mexico Lobos | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 27c | 75.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 67.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked New Mexico Lobos | 74c | 44.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Wyoming Cowboys | 39c | 35.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed New Mexico Lobos | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed New Mexico Lobos | 76c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked New Mexico Lobos | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.