Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf154d440a7937dd9db8241217506688ee69e2f714e51c0bc1dcc421cfb124f69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Manhattan Jaspers, Merrimack College Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 75c | 1,964$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 19c | 1,657$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.76 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 1,085$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.55 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Manhattan Jaspers | 31c | 917.41$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.39 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 494.74$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.33 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 488.93$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 79c | 485.63$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 388.6$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 4c | 384.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Merrimack College Warriors | 75c | 374.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers | 21c | 228.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 75c | 185.86$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Merrimack College Warriors | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…8e33backed Manhattan Jaspers | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 10c | 115.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 80c | 110.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc228…f268backed Manhattan Jaspers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Merrimack College Warriors | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Manhattan Jaspers | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Manhattan Jaspers | 22c | 88.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Merrimack College Warriors | 77c | 67.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Manhattan Jaspers | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriorsthis page
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 145.5Under won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 146.5Under won
- Manhattan Jaspers vs. Merrimack College Warriors: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-5.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
- Spread: Merrimack College Warriors (-6.5)Merrimack College Warriors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.