Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Dane Sweeny vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d8f1f20072aaa1db1834f468d30658dbfc90ba3ff0bed749e5daf91b105d69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sweenyof Sweeny, O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f05…d7c2backed O'Connell | 64c | 2,687$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked O'Connell | 66c | 2,684$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.73 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sweeny | 50c | 2,649$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.73 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sweeny | 34c | 1,836$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.57 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked O'Connell | 27c | 1,743$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sweeny | 35c | 1,393$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.08 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked O'Connell | 59c | 1,208$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.23 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sweeny | 37c | 1,137$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.09 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked O'Connell | 54c | 1,133$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked O'Connell | 3c | 812.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed O'Connell | 65c | 768.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sweeny | 35c | 501.2$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.23 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sweeny | 24c | 469.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sweeny | 52c | 461.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…220abacked Sweeny | 79c | 425$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Sweeny | 32c | 247.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Sweeny | 45c | 221.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.94 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed O'Connell | 17c | 217.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sweeny | 36c | 199.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.99 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked O'Connell | 66c | 151.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sweeny | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed O'Connell | 68c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sweeny | 34c | 145.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked O'Connell | 51c | 144.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Sweeny | 34c | 136.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Sweeny | 36c | 136.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sweeny | 46c | 129.58$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…371ebacked O'Connell | 52c | 116.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Sweeny | 37c | 108.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked O'Connell | 66c | 106.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Sweeny | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed O'Connell | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed O'Connell | 66c | 75.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sweeny | 33c | 60.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Sweeny | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde22…292abacked O'Connell | 58c | 44.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked O'Connell | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed O'Connell | 64c | 39.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sweeny | 26c | 39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf0…df85backed O'Connell | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef8…48aabacked O'Connell | 61c | 35.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Sweeny | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed O'Connell | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed O'Connell | 66c | 18.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8e…cac2backed O'Connell | 57c | 18.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed O'Connell | 69c | 17.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.