Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. South Florida Bulls
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236354934355ca3369e2ab1efc5aa24071305ae0bc8d011c2ac221f8ecce4851
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Colorado State Rams, South Florida Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed South Florida Bulls | 58c | 6,769$3,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.95 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado State Rams | 41c | 5,114$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.26 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls | 16c | 4,251$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Colorado State Rams | 41c | 842.03$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.8 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 603.68$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Colorado State Rams | 57c | 527.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.6 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 517.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.55 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…6866backed South Florida Bulls | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Colorado State Rams | 41c | 334.9$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Colorado State Rams | 41c | 150.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.28 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Colorado State Rams | 67c | 149.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 63c | 130.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Colorado State Rams | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed South Florida Bulls | 37c | 113.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed South Florida Bulls | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Colorado State Rams | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Colorado State Rams | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed South Florida Bulls | 26c | 52.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…cb65backed Colorado State Rams | 63c | 20.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. South Florida Bullsthis page
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-1.5)Colorado State Rams won
- Spread: South Florida Bulls (-2.5)Colorado State Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.