Cricket · resolved market
SA20: Durban's Super Giants vs Joburg Super Kings (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb383c14c394f18dcce1d1a4c18c68efc9f353f6a85f6c68a4be201d0bbffae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joburg Super Kingsof Durban's Super Giants, Joburg Super Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Durban's Super Giants | 0c | 3,838$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Joburg Super Kings | 64c | 2,587$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.15 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Durban's Super Giants | 40c | 1,562$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.01 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joburg Super Kings | 76c | 1,454$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed Durban's Super Giants | 1c | 1,432$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Durban's Super Giants | 28c | 1,351$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Joburg Super Kings | 41c | 1,190$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.69 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 792.23$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.43 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Durban's Super Giants | 40c | 586$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Durban's Super Giants | 58c | 504$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Durban's Super Giants | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Durban's Super Giants | 56c | 392.59$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Durban's Super Giants | 56c | 392.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Durban's Super Giants | 56c | 392.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Joburg Super Kings | 77c | 322.1$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.63 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Durban's Super Giants | 7c | 271.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.53 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Joburg Super Kings | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Durban's Super Giants | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Durban's Super Giants | 58c | 170.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Durban's Super Giants | 43c | 146.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…67c3backed Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 140$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…6a27backed Durban's Super Giants | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 134.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Joburg Super Kings | 58c | 127.57$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Durban's Super Giants | 59c | 120.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Durban's Super Giants | 11c | 116.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Joburg Super Kings | 50c | 114$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Durban's Super Giants | 57c | 75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Durban's Super Giants | 39c | 71.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…c98cbacked Durban's Super Giants | 53c | 53.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…86c0backed Durban's Super Giants | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Durban's Super Giants | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…0f50backed Joburg Super Kings | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Joburg Super Kings | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…a376backed Joburg Super Kings | 61c | 46.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26f…3487backed Durban's Super Giants | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Durban's Super Giants | 55c | 30.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…980dbacked Durban's Super Giants | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…a337backed Durban's Super Giants | 58c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Durban's Super Giants | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.