Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25be301bb80e8ce40ccc9b7234691b153106ca566d0b2382e3a03060da8de604
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barrenaof Gaubas, Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9206…42a6backed Gaubas | 66c | 6,566$4,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gaubas | 47c | 4,831$2,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,286.15 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Barrena | 41c | 3,454$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Barrena | 34c | 1,469$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.68 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Gaubas | 36c | 1,067$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barrena | 65c | 1,054$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.33 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Barrena | 30c | 1,017$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.99 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Gaubas | 70c | 900$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.82 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Gaubas | 72c | 726.62$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Barrena | 29c | 707.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.91 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Barrena | 42c | 584.26$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Barrena | 43c | 536.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.53 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gaubas | 17c | 494$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gaubas | 6c | 456.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Gaubas | 72c | 334$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.48 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gaubas | 31c | 310.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gaubas | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Gaubas | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Barrena | 28c | 219$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed Gaubas | 54c | 187.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Barrena | 48c | 179$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gaubas | 41c | 175.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Barrena | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Barrena | 63c | 149.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Gaubas | 67c | 120.93$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 784 | 52.9%415 W · 369 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gaubas | 36c | 104.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Barrena | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Barrena | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 322 | 46.9%151 W · 171 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gaubas | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barrena | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Gaubas | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.43 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barrena | 55c | 84.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Barrena | 30c | 73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Gaubas | 71c | 70.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Barrena | 39c | 70.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Barrena | 61c | 67.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9386…cfe5backed Barrena | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Barrena | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed Gaubas | 71c | 42.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Barrena | 41c | 37.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Barrena | 37c | 36.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Barrena | 51c | 36.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gaubas | 70c | 34.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Barrena | 69c | 33.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…e89cbacked Gaubas | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Gaubas | 66c | 30.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Barrena | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked Gaubas | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Gaubas | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Gaubas | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open, Qualification: Vilius Gaubas vs Alex Barrenathis page
- Set Handicap: Gaubas (-1.5) vs Barrena (+1.5)Barrena won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.