TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
San Diego State Aztecsof UNLV Runnin' Rebels, San Diego State Aztecs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,558

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,558 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1dc8…da92backed San Diego State Aztecs74c18,019$13,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.925056%28 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c13,131$3,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,565.5231837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs78c5,975$4,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.144,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels37c5,594$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.41520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c4,920$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.3233438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego State Aztecs70c4,543$3,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.862,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c2,902$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels8c2,436$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.955840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c2,250$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49526945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed San Diego State Aztecs67c2,218$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.664025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked San Diego State Aztecs77c2,188$1,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.9925254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c2,061$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.6420834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c1,898$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.5525130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c1,619$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.975,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c1,581$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.3134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels20c1,392$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.891,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels11c1,273$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5181528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed San Diego State Aztecs75c1,248$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.473,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels12c1,100$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9842934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62c0…49bfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c1,077$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.82616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c1,039$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.89729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c954.51$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels21c903.46$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.572,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed San Diego State Aztecs65c878.56$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6617062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels31c869.17$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.92,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c846.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3815453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa59b…d11ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c725.17$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.043138.7%12 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c561.57$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4117945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Diego State Aztecs75c551.84$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.885,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c536.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8625946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c522.03$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.375044%22 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c442.96$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6325829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels28c423.78$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.64,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked San Diego State Aztecs68c401.9$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.399051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c399.11$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c391.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0618548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed San Diego State Aztecs78c383.29$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.112045.8%55 W · 65 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c372.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels16c353.3$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.023,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels31c338.06$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.862,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c288$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c278.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9416436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c277.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels25c262.91$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.91,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels17c261.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels17c232.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5182846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed San Diego State Aztecs77c228.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.651,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3f9…0975backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels6c226.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.612339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels20c222.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0712141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels15c214.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c207$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.684221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c201.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.081,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c199.06$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7862140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c198.92$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels20c198.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7815559.4%92 W · 63 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels29c182.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.631,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels41c177.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2324951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed San Diego State Aztecs57c165.57$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1922157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked San Diego State Aztecs75c152.67$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6114049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels17c149.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.593941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels38c143.81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed San Diego State Aztecs73c136.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.418956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c128.32$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed San Diego State Aztecs65c114.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.99845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c106.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c104.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8923331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego State Aztecs75c99.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c96.89$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2116255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c89.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7727055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7941…7bfebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels27c89.19$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb073…9e8dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c83.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8740%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels22c82.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels30c82.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9494036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels23c81.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7439742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels19c81.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4824737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4287…3d5ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels24c69.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed San Diego State Aztecs75c62.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.738744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1297…5227backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels31c57.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.871952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels26c55.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c52.84$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.725623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c31.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.362343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda1…454fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c31.08$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.362334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels43c29.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7944955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b15…569ebacked San Diego State Aztecs80c24.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f788backed San Diego State Aztecs79c19.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked San Diego State Aztecs78c17.47$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.835650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed San Diego State Aztecs74c15.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.047748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.