Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43c2b5995f0acd0cab559ae7e84da401aef92ade8f49ae813d8d02a334aa610f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 7,855$4,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.84 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 40c | 7,607$3,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,018.68 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Under | 46c | 6,060$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 54c | 5,511$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.2 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 47c | 4,120$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 54c | 2,980$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.12 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 2,543$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.72 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 43c | 1,852$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.47 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,748$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.38 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed Under | 44c | 1,381$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 53c | 1,285$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.87 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 8c | 944.8$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 892.39$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.86 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Under | 45c | 751.35$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…93acbacked Over | 46c | 736.34$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 618.76$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.69 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 490.45$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39d…b695backed Under | 53c | 445.56$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 438.24$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.83 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 396.67$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.38 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 360.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 324.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 311.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.34 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Over | 25c | 305.6$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 281.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Over | 45c | 270$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 57c | 243.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.64 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 242.59$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 9c | 241.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 53c | 232.59$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 136 | 36.8%50 W · 86 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8337…9aacbacked Over | 69c | 206.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 45c | 201.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 31c | 189.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 75c | 183.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed Over | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 46c | 153.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 44c | 131.78$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 126.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 47c | 103.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Over | 47c | 103.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.1wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 61c | 99.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 52c | 94.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 115 | 47.8%55 W · 60 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Over | 37c | 93.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 53c | 91.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415d…a37cbacked Under | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.55 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Over | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 55c | 79.61$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 54c | 79.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 76c | 77.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.14 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 30c | 74.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Over | 44c | 70.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 76c | 64.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 47c | 61.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 60.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 33c | 57.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 46c | 52.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 48c | 50.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 78c | 50.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 141 | 59.6%84 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 38c | 49.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 53c | 49.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 47c | 48.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…d02fbacked Over | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 46c | 42.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 59c | 41.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…3578backed Over | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 55c | 37.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…2c19backed Over | 55c | 36.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Under | 53c | 36.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 48c | 33.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 78c | 33.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 73c | 29.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 61c | 24.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 57c | 23.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 54c | 21.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Over | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 55c | 18.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 76c | 15.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 77c | 13.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.