Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x375bd40d9761f77a0bd14b2187da85c531fa278263128c24b85cd4238ab082af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 5,306$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.23 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 2,190$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.57 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 1,067$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.38 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 27c | 1,057$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Yes | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 653.77$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…19d2backed No | 48c | 640.66$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…db66backed No | 48c | 620.03$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…762bbacked Yes | 52c | 620$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 47c | 597.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 53c | 595.01$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.21 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…0aa3backed Yes | 51c | 566.63$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -11.7wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 544.21$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.11 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Yes | 32c | 539.55$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 52c | 410.89$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 47c | 379.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.39 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 51c | 377.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.79 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 53c | 248.58$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 247.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b33…044ebacked Yes | 40c | 230$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 226.49$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.84 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 213.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 53c | 211.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 42c | 209.01$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 53c | 178.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 47c | 167.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 146.47$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf853…8088backed Yes | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 52c | 141.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 49c | 102.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…6fd4backed Yes | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 32c | 89.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 53c | 84.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9d…527bbacked Yes | 53c | 71.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.83 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 60.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 59.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 32c | 57.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…1770backed Yes | 53c | 54.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked No | 45c | 42.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…c51bbacked Yes | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Yes | 53c | 35.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…a695backed Yes | 48c | 35.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 60c | 35.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 152 | 53.9%82 W · 70 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 47c | 34.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…76babacked Yes | 54c | 34.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 61c | 31.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 48c | 30.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 47c | 29.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4277…3154backed Yes | 54c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 52c | 26.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 59c | 26.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Yes | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 60c | 20.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…7999backed Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…e624backed Yes | 53c | 19.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.