TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelos: Taro Daniel vs Andres Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Taro Danielof Taro Daniel, Andres Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,683 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Taro Daniel73c3,512$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.3980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Andres Martin43c2,771$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.632,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Taro Daniel70c2,740$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4446473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Taro Daniel52c2,507$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.3320155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Taro Daniel62c2,344$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.5320847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Taro Daniel73c1,204$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.552,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Andres Martin17c970$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.922033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Andres Martin38c969.47$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.724,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Andres Martin37c966.41$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.231,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Andres Martin33c919.63$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.963,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Taro Daniel40c828.07$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.67,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Martin37c737.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.111,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Andres Martin43c735.75$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.722,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andres Martin36c683.36$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Taro Daniel67c516$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.851,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Andres Martin37c515.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.123,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Andres Martin27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1358337.3%31 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andres Martin33c490.59$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.922,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Andres Martin54c436.22$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.88,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Andres Martin36c321.92$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8355660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Taro Daniel51c294.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.152,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Andres Martin42c280.88$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9723429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Martin55c272.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.046,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Taro Daniel46c267.67$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.541,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andres Martin36c257.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.936,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Taro Daniel71c250.75$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.724,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Taro Daniel68c241.19$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.893852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Andres Martin41c240$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.460856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Taro Daniel57c227.06$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Andres Martin34c205$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.893,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Taro Daniel27c183.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.391,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Andres Martin44c176.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.054,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x852d…c3dfbacked Taro Daniel64c171.54$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5410664.2%68 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Taro Daniel62c161$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1838268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Andres Martin36c159.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Taro Daniel70c157.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.689450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Andres Martin37c144.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.711,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Andres Martin40c124.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5535040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Andres Martin46c123.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Andres Martin42c123.3$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6618548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Taro Daniel63c119.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.631,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Andres Martin41c118$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.81,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Andres Martin22c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69522.1%21 W · 74 L-11.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-51.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Andres Martin36c109$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Andres Martin38c107$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.377,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Taro Daniel52c87.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6538460.4%232 W · 152 L+29.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Andres Martin23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Taro Daniel64c85.67$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Taro Daniel61c82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9853457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…4d96backed Andres Martin37c76.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Taro Daniel62c73.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.84654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Taro Daniel63c69.65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7739872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f9…16fbbacked Taro Daniel57c66.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.478855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Andres Martin31c50.51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.661353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Andres Martin42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Andres Martin34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1955360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ad9…c98bbacked Andres Martin55c49.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Taro Daniel50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53c5…cb95backed Taro Daniel73c45.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5924244.6%108 W · 134 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Andres Martin37c43.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.242,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f6…b8c6backed Taro Daniel69c43.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5313338.3%51 W · 82 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Taro Daniel34c42.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.352,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Taro Daniel56c41.07$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0733055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Andres Martin36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.447453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63d0…1a1abacked Taro Daniel61c36.97$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.428861.4%54 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Andres Martin48c33.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.171,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Andres Martin35c33.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.651,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed Taro Daniel54c33.04$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Taro Daniel61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Taro Daniel66c30.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.461770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+58.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed Taro Daniel62c30.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.69660.4%58 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Andres Martin60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1826847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0d5…68d7backed Taro Daniel69c29.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.14580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8ecebacked Taro Daniel52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.855048%24 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Andres Martin60c28.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Andres Martin63c24.11$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Taro Daniel48c20.91$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.876,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Taro Daniel60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Taro Daniel56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Taro Daniel59c18.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6834950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f5…f19fbacked Taro Daniel64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.