WNBA · resolved market
Storm vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7d126827179147a2f4cbb2e654636f9a1e526c5b4add6a44e43c78b3b0e963
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stormof Storm, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $205,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Aces | 46c | 75,620$35,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,101.53 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Storm | 53c | 39,844$21,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,662.93 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Storm | 52c | 16,122$8,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,668.95 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Storm | 41c | 9,692$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.33 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Storm | 54c | 7,585$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Storm | 56c | 5,847$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Storm | 43c | 4,842$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.94 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Aces | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Aces | 44c | 3,073$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.84 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Storm | 53c | 2,768$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.85 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Aces | 55c | 2,716$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.98 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Storm | 54c | 2,705$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.33 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Aces | 50c | 2,241$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.25 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Storm | 50c | 2,220$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.57 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Aces | 47c | 1,769$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Storm | 50c | 1,662$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.68 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Storm | 57c | 1,257$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.27 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Storm | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Storm | 44c | 902.3$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166a…5ba5backed Storm | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Storm | 56c | 692.69$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.78 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 53c | 639$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.85 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Storm | 25c | 596.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.15 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Storm | 44c | 588.24$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.09 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Storm | 59c | 580.16$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Storm | 58c | 432.54$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Storm | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Aces | 56c | 344$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Aces | 44c | 313$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +206.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aces | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Storm | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Storm | 50c | 214.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Aces | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…0952backed Aces | 24c | 206.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Aces | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Storm | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Storm | 47c | 183.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Storm | 55c | 169.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68e…e3cdbacked Storm | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Storm | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Storm | 53c | 94.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +11.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Aces | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Storm | 53c | 57.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Storm | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Storm | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Storm | 53c | 53.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Storm | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Aces | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Storm | 56c | 46.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Aces | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Aces | 49c | 44.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed Storm | 46c | 41.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Aces | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Aces | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Storm | 55c | 21.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6aa…e6fcbacked Aces | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Storm | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Aces | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Storm | 55c | 19.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.