Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f022693569eee3700f98c5a48fa086f2abfda70ac12c789c92da2f48f4b8e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof MOUZ, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f6…b4febacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,283$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 1,262$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.16 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7336…5f80backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,107$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458f…124bbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed MOUZ | 44c | 878$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x590f…d809backed MOUZ | 44c | 760$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…3d3dbacked MOUZ | 44c | 750$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…779abacked MOUZ | 44c | 730$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…bd77backed Team Yandex | 56c | 677$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…4456backed MOUZ | 43c | 658$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…5763backed Team Yandex | 57c | 647$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -42%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…a32cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 636$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…42a0backed Team Yandex | 56c | 636$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…9ffbbacked MOUZ | 44c | 620$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…a101backed Team Yandex | 56c | 558$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…daa0backed MOUZ | 44c | 510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Team Yandex | 55c | 457.69$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aac…e4e2backed Team Yandex | 56c | 430$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4a67backed Team Yandex | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…0150backed Team Yandex | 56c | 420$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…bb13backed Team Yandex | 56c | 390$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Team Yandex | 59c | 387.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.73 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…61dabacked Team Yandex | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe197…a4cebacked Team Yandex | 57c | 365$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…5fecbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1809…bd81backed Team Yandex | 56c | 340$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…ae14backed Team Yandex | 56c | 330$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe255…57c9backed Team Yandex | 56c | 320$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c1…ecbebacked Team Yandex | 56c | 310$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked MOUZ | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…2c8cbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 293$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MOUZ | 15c | 290$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Team Yandex | 75c | 267.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 37c | 249.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed MOUZ | 23c | 242.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ | 41c | 237.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked MOUZ | 10c | 230.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed MOUZ | 45c | 224.29$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…a918backed Team Yandex | 58c | 210$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…c5a4backed MOUZ | 42c | 209$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c69…5efabacked MOUZ | 42c | 206$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…a6a0backed Team Yandex | 57c | 205$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…daf3backed MOUZ | 43c | 205$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb863…e48bbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 205$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…1135backed MOUZ | 43c | 204$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…6e12backed Team Yandex | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…0703backed Team Yandex | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Team Yandex | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 215 | 51.6%111 W · 104 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 157.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed MOUZ | 27c | 151.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed MOUZ | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 37c | 149.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed MOUZ | 18c | 139.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed MOUZ | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 29c | 87.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 44c | 85.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 58c | 82.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team Yandex | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MOUZ | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Yandex | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked MOUZ | 45c | 67.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Yandex | 56c | 53.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed MOUZ | 40c | 50.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…6c52backed MOUZ | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Yandex | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed MOUZ | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked MOUZ | 42c | 49.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Yandex | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed MOUZ | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63b…b7c9backed MOUZ | 44c | 44.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Team Yandex | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed MOUZ | 45c | 33.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Team Yandex | 62c | 32.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Team Yandex | 63c | 31.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed20…84f1backed MOUZ | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…a98bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Team Yandex | 58c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked MOUZ | 43c | 24.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Team Yandex | 58c | 24.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 316 | 59.8%189 W · 127 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex | 62c | 22.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Team Yandex | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Team Yandex | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.