Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4068cf786fde3b5fc231a98aada1029637b40c119aaf78ded53ba9b39603258
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8454…331abacked Dark Passage | 1c | 9,577$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed Dark Passage | 0c | 5,411$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dark Passage | 1c | 1,126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Dark Passage | 11c | 907.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Dark Passage | 21c | 515.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 466$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Dark Passage | 21c | 400$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Dark Passage | 22c | 374.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Dark Passage | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Dark Passage | 21c | 149.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 125.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…290fbacked Dark Passage | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Dark Passage | 21c | 93.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…3d82backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…d194backed Dark Passage | 17c | 65.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dark Passage | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Dark Passage | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…7aa1backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…1457backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…a15abacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…b444backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…58e2backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f99…0a7cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…08fbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…c5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 13.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Group Athis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.