La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c8dadb63b3c408efbe4fcc43ff5378ceef29920680c922680341bef6f28c63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 67c | 3,249$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.71 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 56c | 3,214$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.29 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,274$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 1,117$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.97 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.82 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 17c | 707.51$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 25c | 657.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.45 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 44c | 636.36$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 24c | 593.17$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 56c | 555.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.36 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 26c | 538.46$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 56c | 521.19$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.19 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 43c | 480.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…0f54backed No | 47c | 449.96$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.48 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 346.83$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 75c | 288.01$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 275.4$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.85 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked Yes | 58c | 195$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 185.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 56c | 184.68$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 43c | 143.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 56c | 119$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 79c | 109$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +12.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 57c | 89.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 31c | 79.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed No | 29c | 62.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 58c | 60.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 40c | 56.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked No | 28c | 49.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 43c | 46.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 55c | 32.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Yes | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 57c | 27.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 73c | 26.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 56c | 25.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 45c | 24.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will CD Castellón vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.