Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Total Open: Janice Tjen vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7b011434bb07caa69b75260f585729ef039327b316ed58a7bcb55d0269a524
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tjenof Tjen, Maia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $95,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tjen | 78c | 18,000$14,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Maia | 22c | 16,612$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.94 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Maia | 19c | 7,910$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.67 | 1,161 | 44.3%514 W · 647 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Maia | 46c | 5,245$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.14 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Maia | 1c | 4,097$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tjen | 65c | 3,537$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.24 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Maia | 40c | 2,503$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.2 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Tjen | 75c | 2,032$1,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.37 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Maia | 39c | 1,784$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.64 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Tjen | 59c | 1,696$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.32 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…c09bbacked Tjen | 52c | 1,517$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.65 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Maia | 35c | 1,200$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.99 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Maia | 49c | 1,042$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.55 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tjen | 71c | 912.54$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked Maia | 50c | 903.68$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 287 | 54%155 W · 132 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Tjen | 52c | 870.42$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.8 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Maia | 50c | 543.25$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 145 | 68.3%99 W · 46 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Tjen | 55c | 502$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Maia | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tjen | 53c | 434.54$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.29 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Tjen | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Tjen | 60c | 262.75$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Tjen | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Tjen | 51c | 260$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Tjen | 52c | 238.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Tjen | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Maia | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Tjen | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Tjen | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…2347backed Maia | 8c | 185.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Maia | 39c | 174.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maia | 34c | 173.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Tjen | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tjen | 53c | 117$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Maia | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Tjen | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Maia | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Maia | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Tjen | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maia | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Maia | 43c | 56.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Tjen | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Tjen | 52c | 50.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Tjen | 52c | 50.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Maia | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maia | 35c | 43.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Tjen | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Tjen | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tjen | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked Tjen | 53c | 33.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Maia | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 251 | 47%118 W · 133 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Maia | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Tjen | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Tjen | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tjen | 52c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Tjen | 66c | 25.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Maia | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Total Open: Janice Tjen vs Beatriz Haddad Maiathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tjen vs MaiaTjen won
- Set Handicap: Tjen (-1.5) vs Maia (+1.5)Tjen won
- Tjen vs. Maia: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Tjen vs. Maia: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Tjen vs. Maia: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Tjen vs. Maia: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.