TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Boise State Broncos vs. Colorado State Rams

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boise State Broncosof Boise State Broncos, Colorado State Rams
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,978 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Boise State Broncos51c31,313$15,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,486.4924351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Colorado State Rams36c16,190$5,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,875.1122043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Boise State Broncos46c10,899$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,885.9689645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado State Rams50c10,162$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125.372,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Colorado State Rams49c9,428$4,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,629.061,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Boise State Broncos47c5,865$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,115.1826945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4d…8e7ebacked Colorado State Rams54c4,119$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.175947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams53c3,333$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.482,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Boise State Broncos47c3,315$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.481,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado State Rams28c3,239$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.8625130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado State Rams48c2,744$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.683,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colorado State Rams49c2,478$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.2990645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Boise State Broncos49c1,936$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.4329845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado State Rams28c1,859$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.081,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Boise State Broncos62c1,642$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.244,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Colorado State Rams55c1,172$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.373745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Boise State Broncos47c1,165$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.8592246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Boise State Broncos50c1,006$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.0632751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Colorado State Rams54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Colorado State Rams52c995.68$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.371,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Boise State Broncos75c989.17$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.632,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Boise State Broncos70c579.79$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.923,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Colorado State Rams53c499.61$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Boise State Broncos46c435$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.926749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Boise State Broncos47c396.51$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.151,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colorado State Rams51c378.43$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1934548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Colorado State Rams55c360.58$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2733855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed Colorado State Rams9c321.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.925933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Colorado State Rams41c318.56$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Boise State Broncos49c314.23$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2618349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Boise State Broncos46c257.32$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.361,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado State Rams20c249.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8177142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Colorado State Rams13c249.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3381528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Colorado State Rams49c234.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Colorado State Rams52c228.75$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Boise State Broncos47c210.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7883350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Boise State Broncos46c200.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.3449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Boise State Broncos48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Colorado State Rams42c179.53$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Boise State Broncos72c166.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.514,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Boise State Broncos47c164$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.2125829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Boise State Broncos47c156.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.725052%26 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Colorado State Rams49c151.02$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Boise State Broncos45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colorado State Rams53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.533445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd12…a7b8backed Boise State Broncos47c149.35$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2318644.6%83 W · 103 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Boise State Broncos47c148.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8121850.5%110 W · 108 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Colorado State Rams49c125.94$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7130054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Boise State Broncos76c114.1$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3416255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Boise State Broncos71c113.76$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Boise State Broncos72c109.39$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Colorado State Rams10c107.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.271,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams32c105.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.755,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbd9d…1ba2backed Colorado State Rams55c102.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.51825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Colorado State Rams49c101.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5634746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Boise State Broncos49c100.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7923054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Colorado State Rams53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5314546.9%68 W · 77 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e85…788bbacked Boise State Broncos49c99.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Colorado State Rams21c96.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1730945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Colorado State Rams12c96.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.611743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Boise State Broncos47c91.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6825544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Boise State Broncos50c89.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6250745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Boise State Broncos71c80.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.795,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boise State Broncos46c75.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6850548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Boise State Broncos50c65.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7110252%53 W · 49 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Colorado State Rams29c55.94$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Boise State Broncos55c55.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2594036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ffd…9405backed Boise State Broncos47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.95560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93e3…e590backed Colorado State Rams38c52.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.875623.2%13 W · 43 L-9.9wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-46.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Boise State Broncos67c52.25$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.391,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8353…01a8backed Boise State Broncos50c49.61$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.833145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd5…11bbbacked Colorado State Rams52c47.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.786450%32 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Colorado State Rams50c46.46$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Colorado State Rams45c45.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.528744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Colorado State Rams47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.657655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Colorado State Rams51c39.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1862753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad3c…41d6backed Boise State Broncos62c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.61475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Colorado State Rams53c35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5525436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Boise State Broncos46c32.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.732850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed Boise State Broncos77c32.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.422755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b98…e295backed Colorado State Rams45c30.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.882245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe825…39b7backed Colorado State Rams38c30.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.692343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Boise State Broncos62c27.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Boise State Broncos46c27.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.025547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfa3…5d5cbacked Colorado State Rams51c24.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.691040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Boise State Broncos47c23.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.41735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Boise State Broncos46c22.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.389353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Boise State Broncos45c22.23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2325230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Colorado State Rams54c19.21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.311942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Boise State Broncos60c16.82$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.776459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.