TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. George Mason Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
George Mason Patriotsof Saint Louis Billikens, George Mason Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,091

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,091 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd696…8a49backed Saint Louis Billikens72c10,035$7,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,251.4184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed George Mason Patriots28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,20030139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked George Mason Patriots28c9,971$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.0510745.8%49 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Saint Louis Billikens72c9,179$6,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.111,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked George Mason Patriots28c7,236$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,210.012,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c7,000$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,038.3712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Saint Louis Billikens71c5,230$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.4729845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c5,183$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.541,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked George Mason Patriots28c3,555$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,548.822,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked George Mason Patriots28c3,503$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.4434746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Saint Louis Billikens72c2,768$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.99244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed George Mason Patriots55c2,463$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.865,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Saint Louis Billikens46c2,422$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.3826945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked George Mason Patriots79c2,209$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Saint Louis Billikens18c1,971$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2225130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef45…1905backed Saint Louis Billikens49c1,855$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.0120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked George Mason Patriots28c1,786$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.714035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked George Mason Patriots28c1,650$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.7455532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Saint Louis Billikens52c1,442$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.9234943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked George Mason Patriots29c1,127$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.3537441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed George Mason Patriots29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71021549.3%106 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed George Mason Patriots28c998.41$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Saint Louis Billikens38c897.43$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.5621636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed George Mason Patriots29c807.3$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.862,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Saint Louis Billikens37c789.08$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.9274152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked George Mason Patriots63c779$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7431837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Saint Louis Billikens71c730.71$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.464,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked George Mason Patriots30c668.66$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.0626749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Saint Louis Billikens50c496.14$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.825254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c459.24$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.654548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Saint Louis Billikens37c436.24$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.473,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Saint Louis Billikens52c406.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5718548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked George Mason Patriots29c397.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.071,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saint Louis Billikens72c397.18$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.971,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed George Mason Patriots53c377.36$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.93,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Saint Louis Billikens70c366.29$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.426254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Saint Louis Billikens71c337.09$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.337655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed George Mason Patriots61c325.14$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.89729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked George Mason Patriots28c297.79$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.671,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed George Mason Patriots29c270.27$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.921,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Saint Louis Billikens32c259.83$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9516436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed George Mason Patriots55c203.5$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.692,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked George Mason Patriots27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1462,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Saint Louis Billikens72c194$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Saint Louis Billikens35c185.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4825246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8158…4df5backed George Mason Patriots28c177.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.661947.4%9 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+67.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed George Mason Patriots30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…a8bdbacked George Mason Patriots29c146.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.915250%26 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Saint Louis Billikens72c134.63$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Saint Louis Billikens70c134.11$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4830054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0d…b02fbacked George Mason Patriots31c128.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.23666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked George Mason Patriots69c127.95$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2960551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Saint Louis Billikens60c126.34$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Louis Billikens68c117.25$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.962,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Saint Louis Billikens35c115.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4690645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Saint Louis Billikens72c110.07$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2260954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed George Mason Patriots28c102.24$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6282846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Saint Louis Billikens70c99.27$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Saint Louis Billikens70c96.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4489146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed George Mason Patriots29c94.67$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4529337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Saint Louis Billikens40c86.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.321,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Saint Louis Billikens73c72.53$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8337947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Saint Louis Billikens21c66.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6119522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Saint Louis Billikens73c64.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0849157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed George Mason Patriots61c58.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.822259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Saint Louis Billikens70c58.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1825829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5d…5bc8backed George Mason Patriots54c45.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.112755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c43.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4626550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Saint Louis Billikens72c38.81$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.953452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Saint Louis Billikens40c37.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0624737.7%93 W · 154 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked George Mason Patriots29c34.92$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.799851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1297…5227backed George Mason Patriots53c33.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.81952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa167…9324backed George Mason Patriots60c33.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed George Mason Patriots40c31.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7e…b137backed Saint Louis Billikens72c30.78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.165547.3%26 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Saint Louis Billikens75c29.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2539742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Saint Louis Billikens70c29.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851030%3 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed George Mason Patriots70c28.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5118439.1%72 W · 112 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e0…fe90backed George Mason Patriots55c27.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c23.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.044953.1%26 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked George Mason Patriots55c23.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2f…a3d8backed George Mason Patriots61c17.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Saint Louis Billikens70c15.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.727650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Saint Louis Billikens72c14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.083554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.