Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Hanfmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc526131fe259d8c7d625b029541b56836051ef75ca0af8a8c7bcee752196b748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Darderi, Hanfmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Darderi | 60c | 1,201$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.25 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Hanfmann | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Darderi | 60c | 984$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.04 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hanfmann | 2c | 923$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Hanfmann | 40c | 787.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Darderi | 36c | 544.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.77 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hanfmann | 63c | 324.2$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.97 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hanfmann | 54c | 274.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Darderi | 62c | 153.07$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanfmann | 30c | 135.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hanfmann | 38c | 129$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Hanfmann | 57c | 114.25$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Hanfmann | 75c | 96.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hanfmann | 45c | 54.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hanfmann | 39c | 53.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Hanfmann | 37c | 52.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Hanfmann | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Darderi | 57c | 46.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Darderi | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Darderi | 57c | 38.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Darderi | 46c | 36.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Hanfmann | 40c | 33.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Darderi | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Hanfmann | 61c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Hanfmann | 75c | 16.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs Hanfmannthis page
- Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick HanfmannLuciano Darderi won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.