Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Julia Avdeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe55873d46ea8318f3437810b15e97baeb89c6b3b1e70fb210e4e60a0227afdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elena Pridankinaof Elena Pridankina, Julia Avdeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julia Avdeeva | 18c | 1,713$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Elena Pridankina | 79c | 1,678$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.33 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Julia Avdeeva | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elena Pridankina | 78c | 739.22$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 18c | 726.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.13 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Elena Pridankina | 73c | 636.85$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Elena Pridankina | 78c | 409.99$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Elena Pridankina | 74c | 337.84$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 250.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Elena Pridankina | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Julia Avdeeva | 22c | 228.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Elena Pridankina | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Elena Pridankina | 72c | 213.19$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Julia Avdeeva | 15c | 143.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Julia Avdeeva | 27c | 110.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Elena Pridankina | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Julia Avdeeva | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Elena Pridankina | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Elena Pridankina | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Julia Avdeeva | 24c | 97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Elena Pridankina | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Elena Pridankina | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…664bbacked Julia Avdeeva | 26c | 85.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Julia Avdeeva | 14c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Julia Avdeeva | 28c | 82.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Julia Avdeeva | 24c | 73.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Elena Pridankina | 70c | 71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Elena Pridankina | 73c | 39.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Julia Avdeeva | 29c | 38.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Julia Avdeeva | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Elena Pridankina | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Julia Avdeevathis page
- Set Handicap: Pridankina (-1.5) vs Avdeeva (+1.5)Pridankina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.