NFL · resolved market
Spread: Falcons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aacd93bff675fe0044e88442860d3a4559745b56dda1d45f3ef7eada8aa71c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Falcons, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,049,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,047,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,049,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Falcons | 47c | 911,361$427,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427,339.7 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Dolphins | 53c | 324,965$172,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,659.32 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Dolphins | 53c | 184,572$97,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,713.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Dolphins | 53c | 53,810$28,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,290.59 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Dolphins | 53c | 50,700$26,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,831.63 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Falcons | 47c | 50,032$23,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,725.37 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Dolphins | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Dolphins | 54c | 31,365$16,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,529.42 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Dolphins | 54c | 23,925$12,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,005.67 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Dolphins | 53c | 20,756$11,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,755.19 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Dolphins | 53c | 17,500$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,225 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Dolphins | 54c | 16,667$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,666.67 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Dolphins | 53c | 15,450$8,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,337.02 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Dolphins | 53c | 15,282$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,182.54 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dolphins | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Dolphins | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Falcons | 46c | 12,570$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.33 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Dolphins | 53c | 12,013$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.39 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins | 54c | 11,111$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,111.11 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…b454backed Dolphins | 54c | 9,703$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.26 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dolphins | 53c | 9,483$5,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.8 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dolphins | 53c | 8,813$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.1 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 8,653$4,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,055.12 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Dolphins | 51c | 7,900$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Dolphins | 54c | 7,592$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.19 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Dolphins | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Dolphins | 54c | 5,110$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350.6 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Dolphins | 51c | 4,400$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Falcons | 49c | 3,904$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.96 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Dolphins | 54c | 3,426$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.5 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dolphins | 53c | 2,386$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.17 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dolphins | 53c | 2,354$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.76 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Dolphins | 53c | 2,168$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.02 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.04 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dolphins | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,796$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.26 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dolphins | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Dolphins | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Dolphins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dolphins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Dolphins | 50c | 945$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Dolphins | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Dolphins | 51c | 919.8$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Dolphins | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Dolphins | 54c | 576$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Dolphins | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…657fbacked Falcons | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Dolphins | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Dolphins | 48c | 372$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Dolphins | 54c | 217.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.05 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Falcons | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…68b9backed Falcons | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Dolphins | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Falcons | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Falcons | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Dolphins | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Falcons | 46c | 188.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Falcons | 47c | 152.64$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Falcons | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Falcons | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Dolphins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…d410backed Dolphins | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Falcons | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Falcons | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…051fbacked Falcons | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +7.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Dolphins | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Falcons | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Falcons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Dolphins | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…2c36backed Dolphins | 54c | 90.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Falcons | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Dolphins | 51c | 58.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dolphins | 51c | 58.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Dolphins | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dolphins | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Falcons | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Falcons | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Falcons | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a45…36dcbacked Dolphins | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Falcons (-7.5)this page
- Dolphins vs. FalconsDolphins won
- Dolphins vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Falcons: O/U 45.5Under won
- Dolphins vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Falcons (-5.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Falcons (-6.5)Dolphins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.