La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b05c24e62a2260d3cea682c22c826fc86b7de74187281a443ba7538f9bc2950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 1,801$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.35 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 47c | 638.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed No | 41c | 161.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 41c | 149.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 33cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…60afbacked Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…770fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 55c | 75.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 60c | 70.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 55c | 61.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 45c | 54.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…16bcbacked Yes | 59c | 51.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…f9e9backed Yes | 59c | 50.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 45.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 46c | 41.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6653…4f3dbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…e06bbacked Yes | 65c | 38.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 75cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 41c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 59c | 34.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…ee60backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 59c | 33.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba7…7af4backed Yes | 60c | 27.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Yes | 58c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb60b…c582backed Yes | 54c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-10-28?this page
- Will Ourense CF vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Ourense CF win on 2025-10-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.