Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Cody Wong vs Viktoria Morvayova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14d6706192283d286f80a884eb5208e65677b2c2e30098390fbce4bb94f0555
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morvayovaof Wong, Morvayova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wong | 42c | 4,201$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.06 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…d4adbacked Morvayova | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Wong | 33c | 1,600$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.23 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2c15backed Wong | 49c | 1,570$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Morvayova | 58c | 728.76$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Morvayova | 46c | 366.17$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.73 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Morvayova | 67c | 216.1$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Morvayova | 50c | 200.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Morvayova | 60c | 183.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Wong | 35c | 127.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Wong | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Wong | 37c | 66.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Morvayova | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7068…8236backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a64…bb41backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…ca98backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…cc93backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…7dedbacked Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92fb…18a3backed Wong | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0e…7b1fbacked Wong | 54c | 46.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…8373backed Wong | 54c | 46.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…5844backed Wong | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…215bbacked Wong | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wong | 50c | 27.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Morvayova | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Morvayova | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…fa56backed Wong | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Morvayova | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.