TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auger-Aliassimeof Popyrin, Auger-Aliassime
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,048
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,491

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,048 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Popyrin10c7,468$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.852,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb757…aaa2backed Popyrin16c4,597$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.94633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-52%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Popyrin22c3,641$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.0280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Popyrin17c3,583$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.027,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Auger-Aliassime76c3,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Popyrin6c2,083$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.371,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Popyrin36c2,042$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73524438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Auger-Aliassime78c1,560$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.294355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Auger-Aliassime78c1,300$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Auger-Aliassime80c999.14$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.839567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Auger-Aliassime80c960.22$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0426065%169 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Popyrin19c959$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.2187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Popyrin20c904$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9525428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Auger-Aliassime65c808.98$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Popyrin18c777.77$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1406439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Popyrin16c744.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1837330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Popyrin10c598.36$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Popyrin16c571.34$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4411343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Popyrin9c544.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e1…8d3abacked Popyrin9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Popyrin23c448$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Auger-Aliassime80c445$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Popyrin21c434$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1419134%65 W · 126 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed Auger-Aliassime80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Popyrin15c388.44$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Auger-Aliassime80c375.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4359165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Popyrin20c367.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Popyrin19c360.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.512,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Popyrin22c343$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.081,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Popyrin17c340.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8634745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa9…a9bebacked Popyrin30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Popyrin20c318.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.621,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Popyrin8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Popyrin19c249.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.512450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Popyrin20c225$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Popyrin18c200$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacc2…711fbacked Popyrin22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Popyrin21c194.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408718.4%16 W · 71 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-52%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Popyrin21c189.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8778452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Auger-Aliassime79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8710668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7252…8f5fbacked Auger-Aliassime80c133.5$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.71060%6 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Popyrin19c131.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.951,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Auger-Aliassime79c130$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.37356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Auger-Aliassime79c125.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.973350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Auger-Aliassime80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2560055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Auger-Aliassime79c106$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7817863.5%113 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Popyrin21c104.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Popyrin21c100.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.871,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Auger-Aliassime80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2017260.5%104 W · 68 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Auger-Aliassime80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c60…2227backed Popyrin24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410532.4%34 W · 71 L-10.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Auger-Aliassime80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2058753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Popyrin21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Popyrin20c97.14$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.467,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Popyrin22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad3e…2c44backed Popyrin21c90$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick36cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x230b…1e27backed Popyrin13c82.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.742339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Auger-Aliassime76c82$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6865949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Popyrin19c78.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156940.6%28 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Popyrin20c78.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.983,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xb490…91e7backed Popyrin20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157647.4%36 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4c…1ca9backed Popyrin21c71.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515363.4%97 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad56…a8d4backed Auger-Aliassime80c64.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.081566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Auger-Aliassime79c63.16$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1610157.4%58 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087f…075ebacked Auger-Aliassime80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8034…2463backed Auger-Aliassime80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52875%21 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902e…b45dbacked Auger-Aliassime75c62.34$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb78a…61c4backed Auger-Aliassime80c62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.415364.1%98 W · 55 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ac…806ebacked Auger-Aliassime80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013658.8%80 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…eda7backed Popyrin20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041846.2%193 W · 225 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Auger-Aliassime80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3008…2489backed Auger-Aliassime80c48.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.752781.5%22 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Auger-Aliassime79c44.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4521072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Auger-Aliassime74c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9212958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Auger-Aliassime79c40.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.614761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Auger-Aliassime80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811165.8%73 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a9…bb66backed Auger-Aliassime79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.977170.4%50 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69a7…1909backed Auger-Aliassime80c37.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.672095%19 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick76cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe42b…a60fbacked Auger-Aliassime79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.659460.6%57 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8c8…ec76backed Auger-Aliassime79c28.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.082777.8%21 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Auger-Aliassime79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed Auger-Aliassime80c25.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.125066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd90e…631abacked Auger-Aliassime80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a8…aec6backed Auger-Aliassime80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Auger-Aliassime80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528964.4%186 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3087…7f12backed Auger-Aliassime80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4f…58c7backed Auger-Aliassime80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51872.2%13 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick74cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Auger-Aliassime73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Auger-Aliassime80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459466.7%396 W · 198 L-1.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Auger-Aliassime76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.677,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Auger-Aliassime80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…44dfbacked Auger-Aliassime80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.57636.8%28 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.