College Football · resolved market
Spread: Virginia (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6360a8cb6628133a73e8671522813d92915cc28a02f6a22d4cc3b4fe1ecba84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wake Forestof Virginia, Wake Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Virginia | 51c | 96,879$49,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,256.98 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Wake Forest | 49c | 35,000$17,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,850 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Wake Forest | 49c | 17,792$8,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,074.11 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Wake Forest | 49c | 17,500$8,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,925 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Virginia | 52c | 11,363$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.5 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wake Forest | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wake Forest | 50c | 9,135$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.5 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wake Forest | 48c | 8,042$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,181.85 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 6,520$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325.2 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…9fe7backed Virginia | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wake Forest | 49c | 5,378$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,742.55 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wake Forest | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Virginia | 51c | 4,884$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.04 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Virginia | 51c | 4,521$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Virginia | 51c | 3,698$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.69 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Wake Forest | 50c | 3,400$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Wake Forest | 52c | 3,000$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Wake Forest | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Wake Forest | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Virginia | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 1,638$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.74 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Wake Forest | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Virginia | 51c | 944$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Wake Forest | 50c | 853$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.07 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Virginia | 52c | 750.99$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.51 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed Virginia | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Wake Forest | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wake Forest | 48c | 566.88$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.63 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Wake Forest | 50c | 520$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virginia | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Wake Forest | 49c | 222$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Wake Forest | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Wake Forest | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d8…66a7backed Wake Forest | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Wake Forest | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Wake Forest | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Wake Forest | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Wake Forest | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Wake Forest | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Wake Forest | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Wake Forest | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Virginia | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9d…b033backed Virginia | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Wake Forest | 50c | 81.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Virginia | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked Wake Forest | 48c | 56.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Wake Forest | 47c | 51.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Virginia | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…dbf6backed Virginia | 53c | 46.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Wake Forest | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Virginia | 53c | 34.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wake Forest | 47c | 31.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Virginia | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417d…62c7backed Virginia | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wake Forest | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b3…2fb4backed Virginia | 51c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…5cd6backed Wake Forest | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Virginia (-6.5)this page
- O/U 48.5Under won
- Wake Forest vs. VirginiaWake Forest won
- Wake Forest vs. Virginia: O/U 47.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.