NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1536b08203b7a9f489646ee36cf72822e4084a92bf2e5d49c77f5d37ddcc5694
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $238,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Blues | 59c | 101,528$60,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,184.7 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 40c | 94,413$38,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,259.72 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues | 61c | 30,000$18,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,188.67 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kraken | 39c | 23,213$9,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,160.05 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Blues | 61c | 21,948$13,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,374.41 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Kraken | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Blues | 62c | 12,705$7,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,831.36 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Blues | 58c | 8,995$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,217.04 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kraken | 38c | 8,124$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.16 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blues | 59c | 5,155$3,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.87 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 59c | 5,025$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.75 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Kraken | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Kraken | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kraken | 39c | 3,703$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.13 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Kraken | 27c | 3,353$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.09 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Blues | 63c | 3,017$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.06 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Blues | 60c | 2,893$1,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.8 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Kraken | 23c | 2,830$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.18 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 40c | 2,736$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.6 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kraken | 19c | 2,507$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Blues | 60c | 2,327$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.9 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kraken | 39c | 2,136$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.69 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kraken | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Kraken | 42c | 1,934$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.22 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 40c | 1,845$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.09 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 40c | 1,775$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blues | 61c | 1,726$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.23 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kraken | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Blues | 58c | 1,425$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 31c | 1,396$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.85 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 52c | 1,379$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.93 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 34c | 972.92$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 36c | 957$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.8 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blues | 74c | 948.42$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.27 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues | 57c | 877.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kraken | 44c | 861$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.77 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 40c | 755.34$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.27 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blues | 59c | 750$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.24 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blues | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Kraken | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kraken | 40c | 705$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blues | 57c | 685.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 40c | 681.43$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.71 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kraken | 42c | 656.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.58 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Kraken | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kraken | 36c | 560.63$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.36 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Kraken | 13c | 500$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Blues | 54c | 489.7$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.39 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Blues | 60c | 454.2$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.52 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kraken | 43c | 426.48$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.59 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Kraken | 45c | 290$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 41c | 276.39$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.96 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Kraken | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blues | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Kraken | 40c | 239.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 24c | 217.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.63 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked Kraken | 40c | 215$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Kraken | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Kraken | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.75 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Kraken | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Kraken | 44c | 199.33$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.6 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…ddd4backed Blues | 59c | 194$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…21cfbacked Kraken | 43c | 194$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Kraken | 41c | 188.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Kraken | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blues | 51c | 173$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.23 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Kraken | 34c | 157.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.51 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Blues | 59c | 141.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Kraken | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x072a…3e85backed Blues | 57c | 122.31$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blues | 76c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Kraken | 29c | 116.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.82 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 42c | 110$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Kraken | 10c | 107$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 201 | 37.8%76 W · 125 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…5e43backed Kraken | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…061bbacked Blues | 60c | 101$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kraken | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Blues | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…b9a1backed Kraken | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Kraken | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…1805backed Kraken | 42c | 95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7a…872bbacked Blues | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Kraken | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…1f62backed Kraken | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 250 | 50.4%126 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb4…48bbbacked Blues | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed Kraken | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Kraken | 44c | 72.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Kraken | 40c | 71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blues | 78c | 70.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Blues | 64c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bda…533ebacked Kraken | 41c | 66.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…7912backed Blues | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Kraken | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Bluesthis page
- Kraken vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.