College Football · resolved market
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02a973bd84649f7ce1792a7bf41fc8d918f8d5d2517fb8d98097c765685839a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlanticof Florida Atlantic, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,448
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,448 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Florida Atlantic | 49c | 18,275$8,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,320.26 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 15,477$7,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.2 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Tulsa | 48c | 12,472$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.39 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tulsa | 49c | 10,388$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,042.68 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Florida Atlantic | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Tulsa | 50c | 8,888$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tulsa | 50c | 8,687$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.89 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Florida Atlantic | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Tulsa | 51c | 3,009$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Tulsa | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Tulsa | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Tulsa | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Tulsa | 49c | 1,023$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.68 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tulsa | 47c | 732.51$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.28 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Florida Atlantic | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Tulsa | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tulsa | 47c | 217.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Tulsa | 48c | 197$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Tulsa | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed Florida Atlantic | 50c | 122.64$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Tulsa | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Tulsa | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094f…b066backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 74.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…540abacked Tulsa | 49c | 73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4f…6dbbbacked Tulsa | 48c | 68.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4bcbbacked Florida Atlantic | 53c | 67.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Tulsa | 46c | 57.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tulsa | 48c | 54.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Florida Atlantic | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Tulsa | 49c | 42.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Florida Atlantic | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Tulsa | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f7…d36dbacked Tulsa | 47c | 35.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Florida Atlantic | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490c…57b3backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 32.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…6c2abacked Tulsa | 49c | 28.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…6392backed Florida Atlantic | 55c | 27.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb15…8b4abacked Florida Atlantic | 50c | 23.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…8056backed Florida Atlantic | 53c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Atlantic (-3.5)this page
- O/U 64.5Under won
- Tulsa vs. Florida AtlanticFlorida Atlantic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.